Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma Sooners | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +12 (63-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma Sooners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Polla | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Doolittle * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. James * | 36 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Bieniemy * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| B. Manek * | 29 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| R. Odomes * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Reynolds | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| A. Calixte | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Freeman | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. McNeace | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome * | 40 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Guy * | 37 | 2-15 | 0-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| K. Clark * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Hunter * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Diakite * | 28 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| B. Key | 21 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| J. Huff | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Salt | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter