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2019-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 69.1% 30.9% -
Bradley-Terry 55.5% 44.5% -
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -
Efficiency 72.5% 27.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.6% 15.4% -
Log Adjusted 84.6% 15.4% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -6 (58-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Jerome * 38 6-10 3-6 1-1 3 6 1 0 2 16 14 -
K. Guy * 37 8-15 6-13 1-2 7 3 2 0 4 23 16 -
D. Hunter * 26 4-9 0-1 2-3 4 0 1 1 1 10 6 -
K. Clark * 22 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Salt * 14 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
M. Diakite 31 3-8 0-1 2-4 6 1 1 2 2 8 8 -
B. Key 27 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 6 5 -
J. Huff 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Blackshear Jr. * 40 10-14 1-4 2-3 13 0 2 0 3 23 21 -
T. Outlaw * 40 1-7 1-6 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 3 1 -
N. Alexander-Walker * 40 4-14 0-6 3-6 1 4 3 1 2 11 4 -
A. Hill * 40 6-17 1-9 3-3 5 2 3 0 2 16 7 -
W. Bede * 19 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Wilkins 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
J. Kabongo 8 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
P.J. Horne 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter