Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nwora * | 39 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 7 | - |
| C. Cunningham * | 36 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Sutton * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Fore * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Williams * | 17 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| S. Enoch | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| R. McMahon | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| V.J. King | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Perry | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Guy * | 39 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Ty Jerome * | 39 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| D. Hunter * | 39 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Clark * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Salt * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Diakite | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Key | 15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Huff | 12 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
* = starter