🐻⬇️🏀

Virginia Cavaliers 66
@
NC State Wolfpack 65
2019-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 69.3% 30.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% - ✗
Margin 46.7% 53.3% +0.7 ✗ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 71.1% 28.9% - ✓
Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 94.4% 5.6% - ✓

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -1 (65-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Jerome * 41 5-11 2-4 0-0 6 6 1 0 4 12 10 -
K. Guy * 40 3-11 1-5 3-4 6 3 1 0 2 10 7 -
D. Hunter * 38 4-8 1-1 6-8 5 4 0 0 4 15 12 -
M. Diakite * 20 4-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 4 0 8 10 -
J. Salt * 18 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
B. Key 31 3-8 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 2 8 8 -
K. Clark 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Huff 15 3-3 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 1 1 8 6 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Beverly * 34 3-8 2-6 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 8 2 -
T. Dorn * 33 6-16 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 13 0 -
M. Johnson * 31 3-11 2-9 6-7 6 2 3 0 3 14 11 -
W. Walker * 30 2-2 0-0 7-11 7 0 1 3 1 11 19 -
C.J. Bryce * 24 3-7 0-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 7 2 -
D. Daniels 32 4-11 2-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 10 5 -
E. Lockett 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -
DJ Funderburk 14 1-4 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 -
J. Hellems 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
B. Harris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter