Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.6% | 70.4% | +4.8 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +20 (76-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Dorn * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Beverly * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Bryce * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| W. Walker * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Daniels | 31 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| DJ Funderburk | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| B. Harris | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Hellems | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Guy * | 38 | 10-13 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Ty Jerome * | 35 | 1-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Hunter * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Salt * | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| K. Clark * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Key | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| J. Huff | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Diakite | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Anthony | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Badocchi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter