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2019-03-14

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 22.9% 77.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +20 (76-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson * 35 4-9 2-5 3-4 4 1 1 0 2 13 8 -
T. Dorn * 27 3-9 0-1 1-4 7 1 1 0 0 7 7 -
B. Beverly * 22 2-8 0-5 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 7 0 -
C.J. Bryce * 19 2-3 0-1 3-5 2 2 0 0 3 7 5 -
W. Walker * 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
D. Daniels 31 2-6 1-4 1-4 1 2 0 1 0 6 4 -
DJ Funderburk 30 4-6 0-1 4-5 3 0 0 1 3 12 7 -
B. Harris 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Hellems 13 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Guy * 38 10-13 7-9 2-3 4 3 1 0 0 29 24 -
Ty Jerome * 35 1-11 0-6 0-0 5 10 4 0 2 2 8 -
D. Hunter * 34 3-7 2-3 8-10 3 2 0 0 3 16 11 -
J. Salt * 27 7-8 0-0 4-5 6 0 0 1 1 18 16 -
K. Clark * 25 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 2 6 -
B. Key 20 0-1 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 0 1 7 -
J. Huff 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
M. Diakite 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
K. Stattmann 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Anthony 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. Badocchi 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter