Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -8 (61-69). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Andre Hunter * | 37 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Ty Jerome * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Kyle Guy * | 36 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Kihei Clark * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jack Salt * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mamadi Diakite | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Braxton Key | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Jay Huff | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Williams * | 38 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Coby White * | 37 | 6-19 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0 | - |
| Luke Maye * | 36 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nassir Little | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter