Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | -1.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -12 (52-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Guy * | 40 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ty Jerome * | 38 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Hunter * | 27 | 9-11 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| B. Key * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Salt * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Diakite | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Clark | 31 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Huff | 17 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nwora * | 40 | 5-16 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | - |
| D. Sutton * | 40 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| C. Cunningham * | 38 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Williams * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Fore * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. McMahon | 25 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| S. Enoch | 18 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | - |
| D. Perry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter