🐻⬇️🏀

@
2019-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 11.9% 88.1% -
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% -
Margin 34.6% 65.4% +3.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 3.1% 96.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% -
Log Adjusted 31.0% 69.0% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +4 (53-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Pritchard * 40 3-12 1-6 4-6 7 4 0 0 2 11 8 -
K. Wooten * 38 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 2 7 -
P. White * 38 4-8 2-5 0-0 6 0 3 0 1 10 10 -
L. King * 30 5-12 4-8 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 16 5 -
F. Okoro * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
W. Richardson 23 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
E. Amin 19 3-8 2-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 8 5 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Jerome * 39 5-12 3-8 0-0 6 6 2 0 2 13 13 -
K. Guy * 39 4-15 2-11 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 10 -2 -
D. Hunter * 39 4-13 1-6 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 11 2 -
K. Clark * 37 4-9 3-8 1-2 4 6 0 0 2 12 11 -
M. Diakite * 35 3-7 0-0 1-1 11 0 2 2 0 7 15 -
B. Key 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Salt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Huff 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter