Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.8% | 27.2% | -5.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -10 (71-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones * | 40 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 40 | 8-15 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 17 | - |
| C. Reddish * | 36 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Z. Williamson * | 36 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 21 | - |
| M. Bolden * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. White | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. DeLaurier | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome * | 37 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Guy * | 34 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | -1 | - |
| D. Hunter * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Salt * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Diakite * | 10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Key | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| K. Clark | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Huff | 13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
* = starter