Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +2 (72-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hunter * | 38 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| K. Guy * | 37 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Ty Jerome * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Salt * | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Diakite * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Key | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| K. Clark | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Huff | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. White * | 40 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 40 | 11-19 | 1-6 | 7-11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Z. Williamson * | 38 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 7-14 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 21 | - |
| C. Reddish * | 37 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Bolden * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. DeLaurier | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. O'Connell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter