Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +13 (65-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Forrest * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| M. Walker * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| P. Cofer * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Koumadje * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Savoy * | 12 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Nichols | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Kabengele | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Mann | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Polite | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Gray | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Vassell | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| W. Wilkes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| H. Prieto | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Guy * | 33 | 7-11 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| T. Jerome * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Hunter * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Diakite * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Salt * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Key | 26 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| K. Clark | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Huff | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Anthony | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| F. Badocchi | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Katstra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Kersey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Nixon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter