Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | +10.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +13 (65-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Forrest * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| M.J. Walker * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Phil Cofer * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Christ Koumadje * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| PJ Savoy * | 12 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| David Nichols | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Mfiondu Kabengele | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Terance Mann | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Polite | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Raiquan Gray | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Devin Vassell | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Wyatt Wilkes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Harrison Prieto | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Guy * | 33 | 7-11 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| T. Jerome * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Hunter * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Diakite * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Salt * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Key | 26 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| K. Clark | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Huff | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Anthony | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| F. Badocchi | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Katstra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Kersey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Nixon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter