Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.0% | 35.0% | -3.4 | ✗ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harper * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| B. Brown * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| A. McLemore * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 23 | - |
| D. Purifoy * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| M. Dunbar * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Doughty | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| J. McCormick | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| H. Spencer | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Wiley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Guy * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| D. Hunter * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| M. Diakite * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - |
| K. Clark * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Ty Jerome * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 35 | - |
| B. Key | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Salt | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter