🐻⬇️🏀

Virginia Tech Hokies

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Virginia Tech Hokies
Program History

2026 Team Stats (28 games)

71.6
PPG
62.8
Opp
+8.8
Margin
39.9%
FG%
31.3%
3P%
75.1%
FT%
40.6
RPG
15.2
APG
13.3
TO
86.7
Pace
75.6
AdjO
55.4
AdjD
#37
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1148 (#88) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1278 (#37) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1091 (#76) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +20.2 (#37) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +31.3 (#38) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.884 (#35) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +18.8 More → 0.924 (#30) NetEff +18.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +30.4 More → 0.971 (#37) AdjNet +30.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +31.1 More → 0.974 (#37) AdjNet +31.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 55.4 More → 0.862 (#37) AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 55.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 59.2 More → 0.720 (#53) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 59.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.944 (#40) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.924 (#39) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 120 | GP 28 More → 1210 (#68) RD 120 | GP 28

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Towson Tigers W 100 - 56
2025-11-09 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 64 - 48
2025-11-13 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 87 - 51
2025-11-20 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 83 - 46
2025-11-27 vs BYU Cougars L 60 - 64
2025-12-04 vs Florida Gators W 68 - 64
2025-12-07 vs Duke Blue Devils L 54 - 70
2025-12-14 vs East Tennessee State Bucs W 73 - 55
2025-12-18 @ Florida State Seminoles W 79 - 54
2026-01-01 vs Miami Hurricanes L 67 - 75
2026-01-04 @ Louisville Cardinals L 60 - 85
2026-01-08 @ Syracuse Orange W 77 - 57
2026-01-11 vs Boston College Eagles W 78 - 56
2026-01-15 @ SMU Mustangs W 79 - 42
2026-01-22 vs Clemson Tigers W 71 - 68
2026-01-25 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 85 - 57
2026-01-29 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 67 - 50
2026-02-01 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 76 - 64
2026-02-05 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 70 - 80
2026-02-08 vs NC State Wolfpack L 62 - 82
2026-02-12 @ Stanford Cardinal W 79 - 67
2026-02-15 @ California Golden Bears W 68 - 58
2026-02-19 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 63 - 66
2026-02-22 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 62 - 51
2026-03-01 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 83 - 82
2026-03-05 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 62 - 54
2026-03-06 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 68 - 85
2026-03-20 @ Oregon Ducks L 60 - 70

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Wenzel C. Wenzel G 28 30.9 15.4 3.5 3.0 0.8 0.5 2.8 13.5 7.0 65 2.7 3.5 34.0 34.2 78.8 2.52 48.5 41.3
C. Baker C. Baker F 28 32.8 14.2 7.0 1.1 0.5 1.1 1.2 12.7 10.0 50 2.1 2.5 42.1 35.3 78.6 2.35 52.1 49.6
K. Freelon K. Freelon F 27 26.6 9.3 8.4 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.6 7.1 12.6 -4 -0.2 -0.3 50.5 0.0 74.0 -2.42 55.6 50.5
S. Suffren S. Suffren G 28 21.2 9.1 3.5 1.6 1.5 0.1 1.8 8.6 5.5 7 0.3 0.6 40.9 23.1 79.7 -1.04 47.2 42.1
M. Nelson M. Nelson G 28 30.2 7.8 3.2 5.8 1.4 0.1 2.2 6.9 9.2 121 5.3 7.4 38.7 31.0 71.4 4.49 48.5 43.3
M. Daley M. Daley G 28 19.0 7.5 2.7 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.8 7.3 3.9 -32 -1.4 -2.4 42.2 25.0 74.0 -3.77 46.7 42.6
L. Wells L. Wells G 28 15.2 3.1 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.9 3.8 1.6 -20 -0.8 -1.8 30.5 25.6 64.7 -1.59 38.2 35.7
K. Petersen K. Petersen F 27 10.6 2.3 2.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.6 2.2 3.7 32 1.5 4.1 39.0 17.6 87.5 1.26 47.7 41.5
S. Swanson S. Swanson G 18 6.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 2.8 -0.5 4 0.2 1.1 26.0 22.6 83.3 -1.28 36.1 33.0
A. Trent A. Trent F 26 9.9 1.4 2.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 3.1 7 0.3 1.0 60.7 0 22.2 -0.15 56.3 60.7
A. Jenkins A. Jenkins F 12 6.1 1.2 2.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.0 2.8 10 0.7 5.4 50.0 0 42.9 2.06 49.7 50.0
S. Brecelj S. Brecelj G 6 2.5 0.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 9 1.1 15.2 25.0 50.0 0 0.91 37.5 37.5
Kate Sears Kate Sears G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 5 5.0 106.2 - - - 0.85 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG