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James Madison Dukes

Also known as: James Madison Dukes
Program History

2026 Team Stats (35 games)

74.2
PPG
61.3
Opp
+12.9
Margin
44.7%
FG%
31.2%
3P%
68.4%
FT%
42.1
RPG
15.2
APG
15.1
TO
72.1
Est. poss./game
73.6
Adj PPG
56.5
Adj Opp PPG
#44
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1327 (#41) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1228 (#49) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More โ†’ 1148 (#24) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ +18.0 (#44) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +21.7 (#29) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.900 (#31) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +17.4 More โ†’ 0.900 (#31) NetEff +17.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +27.1 More โ†’ 0.959 (#43) AdjNet +27.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +27.5 More โ†’ 0.961 (#43) AdjNet +27.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 56.5 More โ†’ 0.825 (#44) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 56.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 54.8 More โ†’ 0.823 (#19) AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 54.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.883 (#36) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.883 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1248 (#43) RD 114 | GP 35

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 80 - 48
2025-11-06 vs George Mason Patriots L 57 - 72
2025-11-09 vs Queens University Royals W 87 - 38
2025-11-12 vs Liberty Flames W 74 - 61
2025-11-16 vs Villanova Wildcats L 73 - 84
2025-11-19 @ Texas Longhorns L 56 - 95
2025-11-23 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 65 - 56
2025-11-28 vs Boston College Eagles W 73 - 53
2025-11-29 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 69 - 50
2025-12-03 @ East Carolina Pirates W 83 - 66
2025-12-07 vs VCU Rams W 81 - 63
2025-12-14 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 65 - 78
2025-12-17 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 71 - 68
2025-12-20 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 74 - 83
2026-01-01 vs Georgia State Panthers W 84 - 64
2026-01-03 vs Texas State Bobcats W 87 - 52
2026-01-07 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 70 - 78
2026-01-10 @ Georgia State Panthers L 70 - 72
2026-01-15 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 80 - 43
2026-01-17 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 67 - 60
2026-01-22 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 72 - 68
2026-01-25 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 67 - 74
2026-01-29 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 96 - 45
2026-01-31 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 88 - 52
2026-02-04 @ Southern Miss Lady Eagles W 83 - 72
2026-02-08 @ Massachusetts Minutewomen W 71 - 57
2026-02-11 @ App State Mountaineers W 60 - 53
2026-02-14 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 87 - 53
2026-02-21 vs App State Mountaineers W 74 - 48
2026-02-25 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 77 - 55
2026-02-27 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 72 - 56
2026-03-07 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 79 - 54
2026-03-08 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 81 - 53
2026-03-09 @ Troy Trojans W 69 - 52
2026-03-21 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 56 - 71

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Peyton McDaniel Peyton McDaniel G 35 32.5 18.8 7.5 2.2 1.6 0.5 1.5 15.1 13.9 420 31 13.5 17.6 44.6 34.5 81.2 6.4 56.1 52.3
Ashanti Barnes Ashanti Barnes F 35 29.0 14.9 9.1 2.5 1.1 0.4 2.2 12.1 13.7 363 31 11.7 17.1 49.2 20.7 64.6 4.81 53.6 50.6
Bree Robinson Bree Robinson G 35 33.6 11.9 2.7 3.2 2.3 0.1 2.5 10.1 7.6 367 31 11.8 14.8 45.3 30.9 82.4 0.59 53.8 50.1
Zakiya Stephenson Zakiya Stephenson G 35 28.2 7.9 2.3 4.1 1.9 0.1 3.3 7.9 5.2 329 31 10.6 15.6 32.9 31.6 62.1 0.17 43.6 39.5
Grace McDonough Grace McDonough F 35 18.2 6.5 3.7 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 4.6 6.5 280 31 9.0 19.8 63.0 0 64.1 2.68 63.9 63.0
Brianna McLeod Brianna McLeod F 33 16.4 4.0 3.5 0.2 0.6 1.6 1.1 2.8 6.0 80 29 2.8 7.3 53.2 0 46.3 -1.87 53.0 53.2
Kylie Marshall Kylie Marshall G 27 9.8 3.9 1.4 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.8 4.0 1.0 19 24 0.8 3.4 33.9 28.2 84.6 -1.79 45.8 43.1
Delilah Soltys Delilah Soltys G 35 18.9 3.9 4.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 1.1 3.4 5.7 122 31 3.9 8.6 40.7 41.1 66.7 0.08 52.7 50.4
Angela Williams Angela Williams G 32 9.8 3.3 2.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 1.3 3.3 2.7 61 28 2.2 9.2 39.6 22.0 61.9 0.06 46.0 43.9
Regina Walton Regina Walton G 25 10.2 0.6 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.7 1.1 59 23 2.6 9.9 35.3 30.0 0 -1.74 44.1 44.1
Jemma Eleby Jemma Eleby F 14 3.4 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.6 -9 12 -0.8 -8.0 16.7 0.0 100.0 -2.46 29.1 16.7
Maddie Oliver Maddie Oliver G 5 2.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -6 5 -1.2 -19.5 0.0 0.0 0 -2.95 0.0 0.0
Alonna Poole Alonna Poole G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Former James Madison Dukes players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last James Madison Dukes game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG
Kamiah Smalls 2016-20 WNBA Portland Fire 2 15.0 7.5 0.0 3.0

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-05-14 Kamiah Smalls WNBA Portland Fire vs New York Liberty 16 2 0 4 Box
2026-05-12 Kamiah Smalls WNBA Portland Fire vs New York Liberty 14 13 0 2 Box

2025-2026 Shot Zones

2194 located field-goal attempts in 35 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Barnes24% Barnes27% McDaniel32% McDaniel45% McDaniel28% Marshall31% Robinson41% McDaniel42% McDaniel46% McDaniel41%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Barnes24% Barnes24% McDaniel30% Robinson25% McDaniel27% Robinson30% Marshall29% McDaniel38% McDaniel41% McDaniel30%
Misses: who misses most here

Peyton McDanielAshanti BarnesBree RobinsonKylie Marshall

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 364-559 65.1 728 Ashanti Barnes 24% (178 pts) Peyton McDaniel 19% (138 pts) Ashanti Barnes 24% (47 misses) Peyton McDaniel 22% (42 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 312-677 46.1 624 Ashanti Barnes 27% (166 pts) Peyton McDaniel 19% (116 pts) Ashanti Barnes 24% (89 misses) Bree Robinson 18% (64 misses)
Mid-range left 40-116 34.5 80 Peyton McDaniel 32% (26 pts) Ashanti Barnes 30% (24 pts) Peyton McDaniel 30% (23 misses) Ashanti Barnes 22% (17 misses)
Mid-range center 29-61 47.5 58 Peyton McDaniel 45% (26 pts) Ashanti Barnes 28% (16 pts) Bree Robinson 25% (8 misses) Ashanti Barnes 22% (7 misses)
Mid-range right 32-95 33.7 64 Peyton McDaniel 28% (18 pts) Ashanti Barnes 22% (14 pts) Peyton McDaniel 27% (17 misses) Ashanti Barnes 14% (9 misses)
Left corner 3 16-49 32.7 48 Kylie Marshall 31% (15 pts) Delilah Soltys 25% (12 pts) Bree Robinson 30% (10 misses) Delilah Soltys 24% (8 misses)
Right corner 3 17-48 35.4 51 Bree Robinson 41% (21 pts) Delilah Soltys 18% (9 pts) Kylie Marshall 29% (9 misses) Bree Robinson 19% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 left 73-258 28.3 219 Peyton McDaniel 42% (93 pts) Zakiya Stephenson 21% (45 pts) Peyton McDaniel 38% (71 misses) Zakiya Stephenson 20% (37 misses)
Above-break 3 center 35-125 28.0 105 Peyton McDaniel 46% (48 pts) Zakiya Stephenson 26% (27 pts) Peyton McDaniel 41% (37 misses) Zakiya Stephenson 19% (17 misses)
Above-break 3 right 63-206 30.6 189 Peyton McDaniel 41% (78 pts) Bree Robinson 14% (27 pts) Peyton McDaniel 30% (43 misses) Bree Robinson 15% (22 misses)