Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.8% | 11.2% | -11.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates -17 (66-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Robinson | 40 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +3.3 |
| P. McDaniel | 35 | 8-12 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 23 | +8.6 |
| B. McLeod | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 16 | +2.2 |
| A. Barnes | 28 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | +9.1 |
| D. Soltys | 25 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | +6.0 |
| Z. Stephenson | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -6.7 |
| A. Williams | 10 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +15.0 |
| K. Marshall | 9 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +0.3 |
| G. McDonough | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -4.8 |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hutton | 33 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -1.4 |
| S. Brooks | 32 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +8.4 |
| K. Fauntleroy | 31 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | -0.8 |
| J. Hearp | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4.8 |
| K. Rembert | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +1.0 |
| T. Barner | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Z. Zellous | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -4.4 |
| O. Hilliard | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.7 |
| B. Smith | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.1 |
| M. Dibua | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
* = starter