Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.8% | 99.2% | +26.3 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +18 (81-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Griffin | 35 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | -5.9 |
| K. Knezevic | 34 | 4-15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | -3 | -10.8 |
| P. Augustin | 32 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +5.9 |
| D. Preston | 29 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +11.4 |
| T. Tkachenko | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -4.6 |
| A. Zachariah | 17 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -10.1 |
| L. Sotelo | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Williams | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.6 |
| L. Ghaifan | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.2 |
| M. White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -3.7 |
| L. Crespín | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Whitelaw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Barnes | 36 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 20 | +1.0 |
| P. McDaniel | 35 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | +17.4 |
| B. Robinson | 34 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +7.9 |
| Z. Stephenson | 27 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | +3.2 |
| G. McDonough | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +17.5 |
| D. Soltys | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +4.4 |
| B. McLeod | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -7.8 |
| K. Marshall | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2.0 |
| A. Williams | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.2 |
* = starter