🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-01-31

Model Predictions

Model South Alabama Jaguars James Madison Dukes Spread Result
Elo 19.6% 80.4% -
Bradley-Terry 11.7% 88.3% -
Margin 2.4% 97.6% +20.5 (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.8% 67.2% -
Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 13.1% 86.9% -

Actual: James Madison Dukes +36 (88-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gonzalez 36 4-12 3-7 1-1 4 1 0 0 3 12 2 -33.0
D. Carter-Hartley 29 3-6 1-3 1-1 5 1 1 1 3 8 7 -4.3
T. Ortiz 28 3-8 1-3 2-2 2 2 2 0 0 9 7 -21.9
A. Sutton 26 2-9 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 5 2 -17.2
C. Narcisse 24 1-7 0-1 2-2 10 3 1 1 2 4 10 -11.3
C. Harris 19 2-5 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 0 -17.0
A. Spann 19 4-7 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 0 5 8 5 -24.4
R. Marc 17 1-8 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 2 -5 -9.2
A. Mangas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Robinson 31 4-8 3-5 4-5 0 5 2 0 1 15 13 +35.4
P. McDaniel 26 9-15 1-4 3-3 5 5 1 0 1 22 17 +31.2
A. Barnes 24 8-10 1-3 1-4 9 1 3 2 1 18 22 +23.0
G. McDonough 22 6-8 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 1 1 13 11 +38.6
Z. Stephenson 22 2-3 1-1 0-2 0 4 2 0 3 5 5 +20.8
R. Walton 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 2 +5.2
K. Marshall 18 4-8 2-6 0-0 3 0 2 1 2 10 6 +0.8
D. Soltys 15 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 3 7 +1.4
A. Williams 15 0-3 0-1 2-2 6 0 0 0 3 2 2 +3.2
J. Eleby 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -6.1
M. Oliver 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.2

* = starter