Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.5% | 24.5% | -6.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +7 (74-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bree Robinson | 37 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | -12.9 |
| Peyton McDaniel | 35 | 7-16 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Ashanti Barnes | 33 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -12.9 |
| Zakiya Stephenson | 31 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -3 | -11.6 |
| Brianna McLeod | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Grace McDonough | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -7.5 |
| Delilah Soltys | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.3 |
| Regina Walton | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.5 |
| Angela Williams | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crislyn Rose | 31 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 25 | +23.9 |
| Marlie Dickerson | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +17.3 |
| Mia Tarver | 28 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +15.1 |
| Zyion Shannon | 26 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +18.0 |
| Yves Cox | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +3.5 |
| Wynter Rogers | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | +10.5 |
| Mimi McCollister | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -3 | -9.5 |
| Bella Weary | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -3.7 |
| D'Arrah Allen | 11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Aniyah Ruddock | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Payton Fields | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.5 |
* = starter