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2025-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats James Madison Dukes Spread Result
Elo 48.1% 51.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“
Margin 52.1% 47.9% -0.5 โœ“ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 64.6% 35.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% - โœ—

Actual: James Madison Dukes -11 (73-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jasmine Bascoe 34 7-16 3-7 0-0 3 4 0 0 5 17 3 +7.5
Brynn McCurry 31 4-7 0-1 10-11 5 7 2 0 0 18 25 +20.1
Kennedy Henry 28 4-7 3-6 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 11 10 +7.8
Dani Ceseretti 26 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 3 2 0 2 2 9 +3.1
Kelsey Joens 22 4-7 2-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 10 7 +3.3
Ryanne Allen 19 4-10 4-9 2-2 4 0 1 1 3 14 7 +8.8
Denae Carter 16 3-5 0-0 2-5 5 1 0 0 1 8 8 +8.6
Rachel Wirts 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 5 +0.9
Brooke Bender 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 +5.5
MD Ntambue 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.4

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bree Robinson 35 9-16 1-6 3-4 3 2 4 0 1 22 14 -3.2
Zakiya Stephenson 33 3-10 2-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 8 1 -4.4
Ashanti Barnes 31 3-10 0-2 1-2 8 1 0 1 3 7 4 -4.7
Peyton McDaniel 28 8-19 1-4 6-7 14 0 1 0 3 23 16 -13.7
Delilah Soltys 26 1-3 0-1 1-1 4 3 0 0 3 3 4 +4.6
Brianna McLeod 16 2-3 0-0 0-4 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -2.7
Grace McDonough 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -15.6
Kylie Marshall 12 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -2.3
Angela Williams 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -3.0

* = starter