Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | +0.5 | ✗ (15.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✗ (23.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes -15 (57-72). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zahirah Walton * | 36 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | +15.2 |
| Kennedy Harris * | 32 | 4-14 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 5 | +26.5 |
| MJ Johnson * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | +19.8 |
| Louis Volker * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +7.8 |
| Jada Brown * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Mary Amoateng | 26 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +12.7 |
| Page Greenburg | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +15.8 |
| Kayla Johnson | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Sanyiah Littlejohn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Sara Blair | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Leah Keyes | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Matilde Motta | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton McDaniel * | 35 | 5-24 | 3-15 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Bree Robinson * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | -15.6 |
| Ashanti Barnes * | 32 | 9-22 | 0-3 | 3-8 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | -5.8 |
| Zakiya Stephenson * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | -21.3 |
| Grace McDonough * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -16.4 |
| Delilah Soltys | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -4.8 |
| Brianna McLeod | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -8.7 |
| Regina Walton | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.5 |
| Angela Williams | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | -10.0 |
* = starter