Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.2% | 30.8% | -4.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -17 (52-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bree Robinson | 38 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +5.9 |
| Ashanti Barnes | 35 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 7-12 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | +15.3 |
| Zakiya Stephenson | 33 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +7.5 |
| Peyton McDaniel | 33 | 11-23 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 24 | +19.2 |
| Grace McDonough | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +17.0 |
| Delilah Soltys | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Angela Williams | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11.0 |
| Regina Walton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Brianna McLeod | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -12.4 |
| Kylie Marshall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Jemma Eleby | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Dyer | 30 | 3-16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -8.8 |
| Fortuna Ngnawo | 30 | 7-19 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | -6.3 |
| Rachel Leggett | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | -8.3 |
| Saniya Jackson | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +7.4 |
| Leilani Guion | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +12.9 |
| Emani Jenkins | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -9.4 |
| Ashley Baez | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | -9.0 |
| Kamesha Moore | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Shakirah Edwards | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +4.5 |
| L. Koricanac | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
* = starter