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East Tennessee State Bucs

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: East Tennessee State Bucs
Program History
Coach: Brenda Mock Kirkpatrick Brown

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

67.5
PPG
60.5
Opp
+7.0
Margin
41.5%
FG%
27.2%
3P%
68.4%
FT%
40.3
RPG
11.5
APG
16.0
TO
70.5
Est. poss./game
64.1
Adj PPG
57.9
Adj Opp PPG
#135
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 946 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1013, returning -31, transfers -36, freshmen +0 More → 994 (#165) Preseason prior 946 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1013, returning -31, transfers -36, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +185 elo More → 990 (#166) HCA +185 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +185 elo More → 1008 (#149) HCA +185 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +2.2 (#139) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +2.2 (#139) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.472 (#164) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.0 More → 0.539 (#149) AdjNet +6.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.1 More → 0.539 (#148) AdjNet +6.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 57.9 More → 0.552 (#135) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 57.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 57.9 More → 0.562 (#127) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 57.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.542 (#145) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.544 (#145) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 178 | GP 3 More → 989 (#168) RD 178 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.497 (#156) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-03 vs West Florida Argonauts W 73 - 51
2026-11-05 @ Clemson Tigers L 57 - 76
2026-11-08 vs UVA Wise Cavaliers W 75 - 55
2026-11-11 @ Elon Phoenix W 65 - 60
2026-11-15 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers - Preview
2026-11-18 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sydney-James Desroches Sydney-James Desroches F 4 23.0 13.2 4.8 0.5 1.0 2.5 1.5 8.5 12.0 13 4 3.2 5.8 47.1 33.3 75.0 -1.64 61.9 55.9
Emmah McAmis Emmah McAmis G 4 28.2 13.0 4.2 1.8 1.0 0.0 2.8 8.8 8.5 11 4 2.8 3.8 54.3 43.8 100.0 -0.79 68.3 64.3
Daniela López Daniela López G 4 32.0 9.2 4.5 1.2 0.5 0.2 1.2 10.2 4.2 28 4 7.0 8.9 41.5 11.8 25.0 2.34 43.3 43.9
Anala Nelson Anala Nelson G 4 27.2 9.0 3.2 3.5 1.8 0.0 1.5 9.0 7.0 16 4 4.0 6.0 33.3 20.0 91.7 -0.33 43.6 34.7
Lucia France Lucia France C 4 22.0 7.5 5.5 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.0 6.8 8.0 8 4 2.0 3.7 51.9 0 50.0 -0.02 52.2 51.9
Carmen Richardson Carmen Richardson G 3 17.7 4.7 3.3 1.3 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.3 2.0 36 3 12.0 27.8 31.2 37.5 50.0 3.62 41.5 40.6
Lucy Hood Lucy Hood G 4 20.5 4.2 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.8 4.8 2.2 -7 4 -1.8 -3.4 31.6 27.8 0 -1.66 44.7 44.7
Jaidyn Harper Jaidyn Harper G 1 25.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 3.0 19 1 19.0 30.2 12.5 20.0 0 0.15 18.8 18.8
Alanna Tatum Alanna Tatum G 4 14.0 3.0 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.5 3.0 1.2 10 4 2.5 7.1 41.7 0.0 33.3 0.27 41.0 41.7
SaBreya Monsanto SaBreya Monsanto G 4 15.5 2.5 4.2 0.5 1.8 0.2 2.0 3.8 3.5 13 4 3.2 8.6 33.3 0 0 -1.36 33.3 33.3
Yanessa Boyd Yanessa Boyd G 1 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 - - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Carleyssia Wallace Carleyssia Wallace F 2 5.5 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.0 - - - - 66.7 0.0 0.0 - 51.5 66.7
Lovely Gabriel Lovely Gabriel F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Elsa Vadfors Elsa Vadfors C 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

247 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

France26% López25% McAmis33% Nelson20% Tatum50% McAmis100% Nelson25% McAmis38% Desroches50% Richardson29%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Nelson33% France28% McAmis38% Nelson67% Nelson27% McAmis62% Desroches43% López44% Desroches50% Hood37%
Misses: who misses most here

Emmah McAmisSydney-James DesrochesDaniela LópezLucia FranceAnala NelsonLucy HoodCarmen RichardsonAlanna Tatum

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 43-73 58.9 86 Lucia France 26% (22 pts) Daniela López 19% (16 pts) Anala Nelson 33% (10 misses) Daniela López 17% (5 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 20-45 44.4 40 Daniela López 25% (10 pts) Emmah McAmis 20% (8 pts) Lucia France 28% (7 misses) Daniela López 16% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 6-14 42.9 12 Emmah McAmis 33% (4 pts) Sydney-James Desroches 33% (4 pts) Emmah McAmis 38% (3 misses) Anala Nelson 25% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 5-8 62.5 10 Anala Nelson 20% (2 pts) Carmen Richardson 20% (2 pts) Anala Nelson 67% (2 misses) SaBreya Monsanto 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 4-15 26.7 8 Alanna Tatum 50% (4 pts) Daniela López 25% (2 pts) Anala Nelson 27% (3 misses) Alanna Tatum 18% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 2-10 20.0 6 Emmah McAmis 100% (6 pts) - Emmah McAmis 62% (5 misses) Jaidyn Harper 12% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 4-11 36.4 12 Anala Nelson 25% (3 pts) Carmen Richardson 25% (3 pts) Sydney-James Desroches 43% (3 misses) Lucy Hood 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 8-35 22.9 24 Emmah McAmis 38% (9 pts) Sydney-James Desroches 25% (6 pts) Daniela López 44% (12 misses) Sydney-James Desroches 15% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center 4-10 40.0 12 Sydney-James Desroches 50% (6 pts) Daniela López 25% (3 pts) Sydney-James Desroches 50% (3 misses) Alanna Tatum 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 7-26 26.9 21 Carmen Richardson 29% (6 pts) Lucy Hood 29% (6 pts) Lucy Hood 37% (7 misses) Carmen Richardson 21% (4 misses)