Oregon Ducks

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: Oregon Ducks

Program History

2026 Team Stats (36 games)

74.1

PPG

65.4

Opp

+8.8

Margin

45.2%

FG%

34.1%

3P%

75.9%

FT%

35.8

RPG

16.6

APG

14.9

72.8

Est. poss./game

78.1

Adj PPG

54.9

Adj Opp PPG

#29

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1403 (#22)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1294 (#25)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More →	1091 (#76)	HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More →	+25.2 (#27)	HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More →	+21.3 (#33)	HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.809 (#72)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.7 More →	0.809 (#72)	NetEff +11.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +35.8 More →	0.985 (#28)	AdjNet +35.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +36.9 More →	0.986 (#28)	AdjNet +36.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.1 \| AdjD 54.9 More →	0.891 (#29)	AdjO 78.1 \| AdjD 54.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.3 \| AdjD 60.6 More →	0.725 (#38)	AdjO 71.3 \| AdjD 60.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.907 (#24)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.886 (#27)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 \| GP 36 More →	1249 (#41)	RD 109 \| GP 36

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-03	vs	West Georgia Wolves	W	100 - 59
2025-11-08	vs	Montana Lady Griz	W	90 - 47
2025-11-11	vs	Grand Canyon Lopes	W	84 - 66
2025-11-16	vs	Army Black Knights	W	80 - 55
2025-11-19	@	Washington State Cougars	W	86 - 59
2025-11-23	vs	Utah State Aggies	W	70 - 34
2025-11-25	@	Saint Mary's Gaels	W	71 - 53
2025-11-27	@	Old Dominion Monarchs	W	84 - 46
2025-11-30	@	Auburn Tigers	W	58 - 53
2025-12-03	vs	Oregon State Beavers	W	96 - 73
2025-12-07	@	UCLA Bruins	L	59 - 80
2025-12-14	vs	Montana State Bobcats	W	69 - 44
2025-12-18	vs	Portland Pilots	W	85 - 59
2025-12-21	@	Stanford Cardinal	L	53 - 64
2025-12-29	vs	Michigan Wolverines	L	87 - 92
2026-01-01	vs	Northwestern Wildcats	W	87 - 54
2026-01-06	@	USC Trojans	W	71 - 66
2026-01-11	vs	Michigan State Spartans	L	81 - 85
2026-01-15	@	Iowa Hawkeyes	L	66 - 74
2026-01-18	@	Wisconsin Badgers	L	92 - 94
2026-01-21	vs	Minnesota Golden Gophers	L	60 - 65
2026-01-24	vs	Penn State Lady Lions	W	89 - 59
2026-01-28	@	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	W	74 - 53
2026-01-31	@	Maryland Terrapins	W	68 - 61
2026-02-04	vs	Illinois Fighting Illini	W	76 - 73
2026-02-08	vs	Ohio State Buckeyes	L	64 - 80
2026-02-15	@	Washington Huskies	L	43 - 51
2026-02-19	vs	Nebraska Cornhuskers	W	80 - 76
2026-02-22	@	Indiana Hoosiers	L	65 - 72
2026-02-25	@	Purdue Boilermakers	W	71 - 65
2026-03-01	vs	Washington Huskies	L	69 - 70
2026-03-04	vs	Purdue Boilermakers	W	82 - 64
2026-03-05	@	Maryland Terrapins	W	73 - 68
2026-03-06	@	Michigan Wolverines	L	58 - 80
2026-03-20	vs	Virginia Tech Hokies	W	70 - 60
2026-03-22	@	Texas Longhorns	L	58 - 100

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Katie Fiso	G	36	32.1	15.5	3.5	6.2	1.3	0.3	3.8	12.8	10.2	243	34	7.1	9.2	49.0	27.9	77.4	2.73	54.3	50.3
Ehis Etute	F	35	23.9	12.5	9.0	1.5	1.3	0.8	2.2	8.7	14.2	221	33	6.7	11.7	52.1	100.0	71.1	6.39	57.8	52.3
Elisa Mevius	G	2	22.0	12.5	1.5	3.0	2.5	0.5	1.0	9.5	9.5	-	-	-	-	57.9	33.3	100.0	1.65	62.9	60.5
Mia Jacobs	F	34	26.9	12.4	5.2	1.6	1.2	0.4	2.4	9.2	9.2	234	32	7.3	11.2	41.1	35.6	82.8	3.0	57.4	51.1
Sofia Bell	G	36	30.6	6.7	2.6	1.9	1.6	0.6	0.9	6.0	6.6	207	34	6.1	8.2	39.1	35.1	76.5	2.65	54.2	53.0
Ari Long	G	36	25.3	6.6	3.8	1.8	1.9	0.4	1.2	6.9	6.3	207	34	6.1	10.1	37.1	30.9	81.8	4.24	45.8	44.0
Sarah Rambus	F	36	14.1	6.3	2.4	0.8	0.4	0.4	1.8	4.9	3.7	80	34	2.4	6.8	53.7	0	66.7	1.17	56.4	53.7
Astera Tuhina	G	34	14.6	4.2	1.1	1.5	0.6	0.1	0.6	3.8	3.2	-22	33	-0.7	-2.0	42.2	34.5	88.9	-2.7	53.0	50.0
Avary Cain	G	36	14.4	3.8	1.1	0.6	0.4	0.3	0.8	3.7	1.7	55	34	1.6	4.9	35.3	34.8	75.0	1.36	48.8	47.4
Amina Muhammad	F	36	11.4	3.6	2.2	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.8	2.3	4.0	-6	34	-0.2	-0.7	60.2	0	72.5	-1.92	64.1	60.2
Janiyah Williams	G	28	7.2	2.8	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.0	0.2	2.2	1.5	23	24	1.0	5.2	45.9	40.7	73.3	-0.72	57.7	54.9
Filippa Tilliander	F	24	5.3	1.0	1.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.7	-7	21	-0.3	-2.9	41.2	0	90.0	-1.93	53.7	41.2
Sara Barhoum	G	14	4.6	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.1	0.4	10	11	0.9	7.3	25.0	26.7	0	-0.38	37.5	37.5
Sammie Wagner	G	7	2.4	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.3	-4	5	-0.8	-12.1	0.0	0.0	50.0	-2.5	12.9	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Former Oregon Ducks players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Oregon Ducks game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

2 player-league average(s) withheld while source season, phase, finality or game identity remains unresolved.

Active alumni

Player	At School	League	Team	GP	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG
S. Ionescu	2016-20	WNBA	New York Liberty	32	29.9	14.9	3.8	4.7
N. Sabally	2020-22	WNBA	Toronto Tempo	24	23.9	12.3	5.2	1.7
H. Winterburn	2019-20	WNBA	Portland Fire	29	11.3	4.0	1.4	1.8
T. Paopao	2020-23	WNBA	Atlanta Dream	35	11.6	3.7	0.8	1.4
Chance Gray	2022-24	WNBA	Los Angeles Sparks	40	11.4	3.1	1.1	1.0
Angela Dugalić	2020-21	WNBA	Washington Mystics	37	8.9	2.7	2.3	0.6
Grace VanSlooten	2022-24	WNBA	Indiana Fever (2 teams)	18	5.2	1.9	0.7	0.2
A. Maley	2017-18	WNBA	New York Liberty (2 teams)	10	8.3	0.8	1.2	0.4
Satou Sabally	2017-20	WNBA	New York Liberty	-	-	-	-	-

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date	Player	League	Team	Opponent	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	Box
2026-10-09	T. Paopao	WNBA Playoffs	Atlanta Dream	@ New York Liberty	3	0	0	0	Box
2026-10-09	S. Ionescu	WNBA Playoffs	New York Liberty	vs Atlanta Dream	36	12	4	3	Box
2026-10-07	T. Paopao	WNBA Playoffs	Atlanta Dream	vs New York Liberty	10	4	0	0	Box
2026-10-07	S. Ionescu	WNBA Playoffs	New York Liberty	@ Atlanta Dream	38	10	4	7	Box
2026-10-04	T. Paopao	WNBA Playoffs	Atlanta Dream	vs New York Liberty	4	2	1	0	Box
2026-10-04	S. Ionescu	WNBA Playoffs	New York Liberty	@ Atlanta Dream	34	27	4	1	Box
2026-09-30	Angela Dugalić	WNBA Playoffs	Washington Mystics	vs Atlanta Dream	1	0	0	0	Box
2026-09-27	Grace VanSlooten	WNBA Playoffs	Indiana Fever	@ Las Vegas Aces	2	2	0	0	Box
2026-09-27	Angela Dugalić	WNBA Playoffs	Washington Mystics	@ Atlanta Dream	1	0	0	0	Box
2026-09-27	A. Maley	WNBA Playoffs	New York Liberty	@ Minnesota Lynx	2	0	1	0	Box
2026-09-24	Grace VanSlooten	WNBA	Indiana Fever	@ Minnesota Lynx	10	9	2	0	Box
2026-09-24	Chance Gray	WNBA	Los Angeles Sparks	vs Golden State Valkyries	9	3	1	1	Box
2026-09-24	Angela Dugalić	WNBA	Washington Mystics	vs Chicago Sky	4	0	0	0	Box
2026-09-23	A. Maley	WNBA	New York Liberty	vs Atlanta Dream	5	2	0	0	Box
2026-09-22	Chance Gray	WNBA	Los Angeles Sparks	@ Las Vegas Aces	15	1	0	3	Box
2026-09-20	Chance Gray	WNBA	Los Angeles Sparks	vs Portland Fire	17	11	1	0	Box
2026-09-20	A. Maley	WNBA	New York Liberty	@ Toronto Tempo	8	0	1	2	Box
2026-09-18	H. Winterburn	WNBA	Portland Fire	@ Golden State Valkyries	24	8	3	1	Box
2026-09-17	H. Winterburn	WNBA	Portland Fire	vs Phoenix Mercury	22	18	3	2	Box
2026-08-30	H. Winterburn	WNBA	Portland Fire	vs Golden State Valkyries	19	2	1	1	Box
2026-08-28	Grace VanSlooten	WNBA	Indiana Fever	vs Connecticut Sun	2	0	0	0	Box
2026-08-12	N. Sabally	WNBA	Toronto Tempo	@ Dallas Wings	17	6	7	1	Box
2026-08-10	N. Sabally	WNBA	Toronto Tempo	@ Atlanta Dream	29	12	12	3	Box
2026-08-06	N. Sabally	WNBA	Toronto Tempo	@ Portland Fire	24	17	5	1	Box
2026-06-23	Satou Sabally	WNBA	New York Liberty	@ Las Vegas Aces	8	0	3	1	Box

2025-2026 Shot Zones

2177 located field-goal attempts in 36 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Katie FisoMia JacobsEhis EtuteSofia BellAri LongSarah RambusAstera TuhinaAvary Cain

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	317-521	60.8	634	Ehis Etute 34% (218 pts)	Katie Fiso 20% (128 pts)	Ehis Etute 33% (67 misses)	Katie Fiso 18% (36 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	273-573	47.6	546	Katie Fiso 33% (182 pts)	Ehis Etute 16% (86 pts)	Katie Fiso 28% (84 misses)	Ehis Etute 22% (65 misses)
Mid-range left	53-133	39.8	106	Katie Fiso 34% (36 pts)	Ari Long 19% (20 pts)	Katie Fiso 36% (29 misses)	Ari Long 14% (11 misses)
Mid-range center	54-125	43.2	108	Sarah Rambus 33% (36 pts)	Katie Fiso 19% (20 pts)	Katie Fiso 28% (20 misses)	Sarah Rambus 21% (15 misses)
Mid-range right	50-128	39.1	100	Katie Fiso 60% (60 pts)	Sarah Rambus 12% (12 pts)	Katie Fiso 44% (34 misses)	Sarah Rambus 10% (8 misses)
Left corner 3	39-97	40.2	117	Avary Cain 23% (27 pts)	Sofia Bell 23% (27 pts)	Ari Long 28% (16 misses)	Sofia Bell 24% (14 misses)
Right corner 3	33-98	33.7	99	Sofia Bell 36% (36 pts)	Avary Cain 30% (30 pts)	Sofia Bell 34% (22 misses)	Avary Cain 23% (15 misses)
Above-break 3 left	77-236	32.6	231	Mia Jacobs 43% (99 pts)	Sofia Bell 17% (39 pts)	Mia Jacobs 31% (50 misses)	Sofia Bell 25% (39 misses)
Above-break 3 center	23-70	32.9	69	Astera Tuhina 26% (18 pts)	Mia Jacobs 22% (15 pts)	Astera Tuhina 30% (14 misses)	Mia Jacobs 28% (13 misses)
Above-break 3 right	66-196	33.7	198	Sofia Bell 33% (66 pts)	Mia Jacobs 26% (51 pts)	Mia Jacobs 27% (35 misses)	Sofia Bell 22% (28 misses)