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2026-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 65.6% 34.4% -
Bradley-Terry 68.6% 31.4% -
Margin 88.0% 12.0% -10.9 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 64.1% 35.9% -
Efficiency 92.9% 7.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% -
Log Adjusted 91.5% 8.5% -
Points Off/Def 71.2% 28.8% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -6 (65-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Bell 37 3-6 3-6 0-0 3 3 5 0 1 9 13 -
E. Etute 34 4-11 0-0 9-12 8 3 2 0 2 17 17 -
A. Long 34 3-9 1-3 1-2 5 1 4 0 0 8 9 -
K. Fiso 31 9-13 0-1 1-2 3 4 2 0 3 19 12 -
A. Tuhina 24 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 8 7 -
S. Rambus 19 2-5 0-0 4-5 1 1 0 2 3 8 4 -
F. Tilliander 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
A. Cain 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Muhammad 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 -
J. Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Smith 40 7-14 3-7 3-4 4 4 1 0 5 20 10 -
T. Daye 36 7-10 0-1 1-2 9 1 1 0 7 15 9 -
M. Layden 29 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 5 4 -
H. Karsh 24 0-6 0-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 0 -1 -
K. Smith 24 1-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 3 0 -
L. McCarthy 23 6-9 0-0 6-7 7 3 1 1 3 18 18 -
K. Puryear 16 0-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
S. Stahl 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Gordon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter