Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon Ducks | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.5% | 1.5% | -23.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -18 (53-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Fiso | 33 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 13 | +12.8 |
| Mia Jacobs | 26 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2.3 |
| Ari Long | 26 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +5.9 |
| Sofia Bell | 25 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +13.9 |
| Amina Muhammad | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +8.3 |
| Ehis Etute | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +15.0 |
| Janiyah Williams | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Astera Tuhina | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.6 |
| Sarah Rambus | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Avary Cain | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.6 |
| Filippa Tilliander | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jada Hunter | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Malia Latu | 25 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -17.1 |
| Edie Clarke | 24 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10 | -10.8 |
| Emily Foy | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +10.1 |
| Addi Wedin | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Mauriana Hashemian-Orr | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Amy Kurkowski | 15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +4.5 |
| Abigail Shoff | 13 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -10.3 |
| Georgia Grigoropoulou | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +9.7 |
| Ella Wedin | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.3 |
| Charlece Ohiaeri | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Melesungu Afeaki | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.3 |
| Coco Urlacher | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +2.3 |
* = starter