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2026-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 20.8% 79.2% -
Bradley-Terry 20.5% 79.5% -
Margin 5.5% 94.5% +15.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 29.9% 70.1% -
Efficiency 1.1% 98.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% -
Log Adjusted 2.5% 97.5% -
Points Off/Def 19.0% 81.0% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +18 (82-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Smith 35 0-9 0-5 2-2 6 4 0 0 2 2 1 -
M. Layden 35 3-6 3-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 9 9 -
K. Smith 34 2-9 0-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 4 0 -
T. Daye 32 4-9 2-3 1-3 2 3 1 1 2 11 7 -
H. Karsh 24 4-9 3-7 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 11 4 -
L. McCarthy 18 6-9 0-0 2-4 9 3 1 0 2 14 16 -
K. Puryear 12 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 8 4 -
A. Gordon 8 2-4 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
S. Stahl 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Fiso 34 7-14 0-2 6-7 3 4 1 0 1 20 13 -
S. Bell 33 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 1 1 5 5 -
M. Jacobs 31 3-7 2-4 6-6 9 1 1 0 2 14 16 -
A. Long 27 2-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 2 1 5 6 -
A. Tuhina 21 1-5 1-3 6-6 1 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
E. Etute 20 7-13 0-0 2-2 12 1 0 2 1 16 17 -
A. Cain 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -3 -
S. Rambus 9 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 4 0 -
A. Muhammad 8 1-1 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
F. Tilliander 6 0-2 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter