Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -18 (65-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Naz Hillmon * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Allisha Gray * | 32 | 8-17 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jordin Canada * | 26 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Angel Reese * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner | 26 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isobel Borlase | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Madina Okot | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Indya Nivar | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sika Kone | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raquel Carrera * | 28 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jonquel Jones * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Leonie Fiebich * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Pauline Astier * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Rebecca Allen | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Xu Han | 20 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Marine Fauthoux | 17 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Marine Johannes | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rebekah Gardner | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Anneli Maley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Madison Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter