Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks +3 (76-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Jackson | 38 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | +15.3 |
| B. Wallace | 35 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | +3.4 |
| M. Webber | 34 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5.7 |
| A. Guyton | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -12.4 |
| L. Vasconcelos | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +6.1 |
| C. Parchment | 22 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +17.1 |
| J. Brown-Hagger | 16 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | +2.4 |
| N. Benson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.5 |
| I. Noya Catoira | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| H. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Fiso | 36 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +7.8 |
| M. Jacobs | 35 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 7-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 17 | +5.4 |
| S. Bell | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5.3 |
| A. Long | 31 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +8.5 |
| E. Etute | 28 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +20.0 |
| A. Cain | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -9.1 |
| S. Rambus | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -9.3 |
| A. Muhammad | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -10.3 |
| F. Tilliander | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
| A. Tuhina | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.7 |
* = starter