Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Portland Fire | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Fire -3 (91-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noemie Brochant * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Natasha Mack * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Sami Whitcomb * | 26 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Lexi Held * | 17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Shay Ciezki | 21 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 9-9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kara Dunn | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marta Suarez | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Maddy Westbeld | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Saylor Poffenbarger | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Portland Fire
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Engstler * | 29 | 7-16 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nyadiew Puoch * | 29 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Karlie Samuelson * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Serah Williams * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordan Harrison * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Holly Winterburn | 22 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Amy Okonkwo | 18 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Frieda Buhner | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter