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Virginia Cavaliers

Also known as: Virginia Cavaliers
Program History

2018 Team Stats (26 games)

66.9
PPG
54.5
Opp
+12.0
Margin
45.4%
FG%
39.3%
3P%
74.2%
FT%
32.4
RPG
13.9
APG
8.4
TO
68.7
Pace

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1653 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1583 (#11) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +37.1 (#28) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.915 (#3) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +17.9 More → 0.886 (#2) NetEff +17.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +29.9 More → 0.970 (#1) AdjNet +29.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +30.1 More → 0.970 (#1) AdjNet +30.1

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-23 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 68 - 42
2017-12-02 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 75 - 54
2017-12-05 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 61 - 68
2017-12-16 vs Davidson Wildcats W 80 - 60
2017-12-19 vs Savannah State Tigers W 78 - 47
2017-12-22 vs Hampton Pirates W 82 - 48
2017-12-30 vs Boston College Eagles W 59 - 58
2018-01-03 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 78 - 52
2018-01-06 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 61 - 49
2018-01-09 vs Syracuse Orange W 68 - 61
2018-01-14 vs NC State Wolfpack W 68 - 51
2018-01-18 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 64 - 48
2018-01-21 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 59 - 49
2018-01-23 vs Clemson Tigers W 61 - 36
2018-01-27 @ Duke Blue Devils W 65 - 63
2018-01-31 vs Louisville Cardinals W 74 - 64
2018-02-03 @ Syracuse Orange W 59 - 44
2018-02-07 @ Florida State Seminoles W 59 - 55
2018-02-10 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 60 - 61
2018-02-13 @ Miami Hurricanes W 59 - 50
2018-02-21 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 65 - 54
2018-02-24 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 66 - 37
2018-03-01 @ Louisville Cardinals W 67 - 66
2018-03-03 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 62 - 57
2018-03-08 vs Louisville Cardinals W 75 - 58
2018-03-09 vs Clemson Tigers W 64 - 58
2018-03-10 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 71 - 63
2018-03-16 vs UMBC Retrievers L 54 - 74

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Guy K. Guy - 28 32.8 13.8 3.0 1.3 0.9 0.0 1.2 12.8 5.1 - - - 40.3 39.1 79.4 - 52.0 50.4
Ty Jerome Ty Jerome - 28 31.6 11.5 3.2 4.3 1.7 0.0 1.6 9.7 9.4 - - - 43.4 39.7 89.5 - 55.8 52.9
Dallin Hall Dallin Hall G 28 33.1 11.3 4.3 3.4 0.9 0.2 1.0 8.8 10.4 26 3.2 6.3 43.3 42.6 87.5 1.19 58.0 53.3
D. Hunter D. Hunter - 27 21.1 9.7 3.9 1.2 0.6 0.5 1.0 7.0 7.8 31 2.1 2.5 48.4 38.8 73.2 1.16 58.2 53.4
I. Wilkins I. Wilkins F 28 27.9 5.6 6.0 1.5 1.2 1.6 0.8 5.1 9.9 - - - 45.5 18.8 76.7 - 49.9 46.5
Mamadi Diakite Mamadi Diakite - 28 15.2 5.4 2.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.6 3.9 4.8 - - - 56.5 0 77.8 - 60.6 56.5
N. Johnson N. Johnson G 25 15.9 4.5 1.3 1.7 0.6 0.0 0.8 4.2 3.2 41 1.5 3.1 39.4 36.1 60.7 1.13 48.1 45.7
J. Salt J. Salt C 28 19.1 3.5 3.9 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.5 2.4 5.8 - - - 67.2 0 28.6 - 61.8 67.2
J. Huff J. Huff - 9 6.7 2.3 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.2 1.7 3.2 - - - 53.3 0.0 62.5 - 56.7 53.3
M. Anthony M. Anthony - 11 6.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.9 1.0 - - - 38.1 44.4 33.3 - 47.0 47.6
J. Bartley J. Bartley G 8 2.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 - - - 50.0 100.0 50.0 - 61.5 62.5
A. Katstra A. Katstra F 8 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 51.2 50.0
T. Gross Jr. T. Gross Jr. G 8 2.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 58 5.8 7.5 66.7 0.0 0 1.71 66.7 66.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG