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2018-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 73.6% 26.4% -
Bradley-Terry 76.7% 23.3% -
Margin 61.7% 38.3% -2.6 (26.4 off)
Pythagorean 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Log Adjusted 96.9% 3.1% -

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -29 (37-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hall * 25 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 5 10 -
T. Jerome * 24 5-10 2-5 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 13 5 -
I. Wilkins * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 7 -
K. Guy * 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Salt * 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 1 4 7 -
M. Diakite 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 2 2 5 -
N. Johnson 23 4-6 2-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 3 12 7 -
D. Hunter 22 5-9 2-2 2-2 10 3 0 0 0 14 18 -
M. Anthony 14 1-5 0-1 1-3 2 1 0 1 1 3 1 -
J. Huff 8 1-1 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 2 0 4 6 -
T. Gross Jr. 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Bartley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Katstra 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Stevenson * 32 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 2 -2 -
J. Milligan * 29 1-7 0-2 6-7 2 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
T. Brown * 21 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
M. Boykins * 5 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Z. Smith * 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
P. Stewart 27 4-10 4-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 12 8 -
J. Wilson-Frame 24 3-7 3-6 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 9 7 -
K. Davis 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
K. Chukwuka 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -
M. Carr 14 0-5 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -3 -
P. Ilegomah 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
S. George 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Mascaro 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter