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2017-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% -
Bradley-Terry 76.0% 24.0% -
Margin 58.7% 41.3% -1.9 (24.1 off)
Pythagorean 80.5% 19.5% -
Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Log Adjusted 96.5% 3.5% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -26 (42-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Guy * 26 7-16 4-7 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 18 7 -
T. Jerome * 25 5-9 4-7 0-0 1 5 1 0 0 14 12 -
I. Wilkins * 25 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 4 0 8 13 -
J. Salt * 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 0 2 10 -
D. Hall * 18 1-4 1-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 3 7 -
M. Diakite 25 5-7 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 1 0 12 11 -
N. Johnson 23 2-7 1-3 0-1 5 4 1 0 1 5 7 -
D. Hunter 16 1-6 0-2 2-2 2 2 0 2 3 4 1 -
J. Huff 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Anthony 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Katstra 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Bartley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Gross Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Fisher-Davis * 24 3-9 2-4 3-6 3 1 0 0 0 11 6 -
J. Roberson * 24 1-7 0-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
R. LaChance * 22 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
S. Lee * 20 0-7 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 0 -5 -
E. Obinna * 20 1-4 0-0 3-3 7 0 0 0 1 5 7 -
L. Austin Jr. 21 2-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
D. Baptiste 20 1-1 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 1 0 5 11 -
M. Evans 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 5 6 -
J. Toye 12 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 0 -
P. Willis 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Brown 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter