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2017-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 5.7% 94.3% -
Bradley-Terry 14.6% 85.4% -
Margin 10.2% 89.8% +12.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 25.5% 74.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% -
Log Adjusted 4.1% 95.9% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +1 (59-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bowman * 40 2-10 1-5 0-0 9 1 0 1 5 5 1 -
J. Robinson * 40 12-22 2-7 3-3 6 1 0 1 3 29 12 -
J. Chatman * 40 5-7 4-5 4-4 1 1 1 0 1 18 13 -
S. Mitchell * 38 0-1 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 0 0 10 -
N. Popovic * 28 2-8 0-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 4 -2 -
L. Kraljevic 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hall * 37 0-6 0-3 1-3 3 3 0 0 1 1 0 -
T. Jerome * 37 11-17 6-9 3-3 5 2 2 0 4 31 19 -
J. Salt * 31 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 0 6 11 -
I. Wilkins * 30 4-7 0-1 0-0 14 2 1 4 0 8 22 -
K. Guy * 29 4-14 3-6 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 11 2 -
M. Diakite 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Johnson 14 1-7 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -3 -
D. Hunter 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -3 -

* = starter