Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | -0.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -4 (55-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hall * | 39 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| T. Jerome * | 39 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| K. Guy * | 38 | 5-19 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | -5 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Salt * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Hunter | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Diakite | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Anthony | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Angola-Rodas * | 35 | 1-11 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| P. Cofer * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| T. Mann * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| CJ Walker * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Koumadje * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Walker | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Forrest | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Kabengele | 10 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| I. Obiagu | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| B. Allen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter