Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -4 (55-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall * | 39 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| T. Jerome * | 39 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| K. Guy * | 38 | 5-19 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | -5 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Salt * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Hunter | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Diakite | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Anthony | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braian Angola-Rodas * | 35 | 1-11 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Phil Cofer * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Terance Mann * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| CJ Walker * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Christ Koumadje * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M.J. Walker | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Trent Forrest | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Mfiondu Kabengele | 10 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ike Obiagu | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Allen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter