Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | -1.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -1 (66-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Guy * | 37 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| D. Hall * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Jerome * | 30 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| J. Salt * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| D. Hunter | 21 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Diakite | 11 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| N. Johnson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nwora | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Adel * | 38 | 5-16 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Q. Snider * | 35 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| V.J. King * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R. Spalding * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| A. Mahmoud * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Sutton | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Perry | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. McMahon | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter