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2018-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 55.1% 44.9% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 34.8% 65.2% +3.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% -
Efficiency 6.3% 93.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.2% 92.8% -
Log Adjusted 7.1% 92.9% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Reed * 39 2-14 1-10 1-2 4 2 0 0 3 6 -5 -
G. DeVoe * 38 3-9 1-5 1-2 6 3 2 0 3 8 7 -
S. Mitchell * 38 5-11 3-6 5-5 2 1 2 0 2 18 10 -
E. Thomas * 26 5-8 0-0 5-7 7 0 0 0 4 15 10 -
A. Simms * 25 1-4 0-2 4-4 4 2 0 2 0 6 10 -
D. Skara 17 1-1 0-0 3-3 1 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
M. Donnal 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Oliver II 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Guy * 38 6-12 3-7 0-1 5 2 0 0 1 15 9 -
D. Hall * 36 3-7 1-4 3-4 3 1 3 0 3 10 7 -
T. Jerome * 34 3-12 0-4 0-0 4 10 3 0 1 6 10 -
J. Salt * 23 4-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 0 0 8 13 -
I. Wilkins * 21 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
D. Hunter 20 4-6 1-2 0-3 4 1 1 1 1 9 9 -
M. Diakite 17 5-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 10 7 -
N. Johnson 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -

* = starter