Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | +0.6 | ✗ (26.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -26 (52-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jerome * | 34 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| D. Hall * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| K. Guy * | 30 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Salt * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Hunter | 24 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| N. Johnson | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Diakite | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Anthony | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Huff | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bartley | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Katstra | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Gross Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Blackshear Jr. * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Bibbs * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Hill * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Robinson * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| N. Alexander-Walker * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Clarke | 28 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Wilson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Bede | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P.J. Horne | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Jackson | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter