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2018-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 7.7% 92.3% -
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% -
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 21.0% 79.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +5 (62-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Gibbs * 38 2-7 1-3 3-5 3 3 1 0 1 8 7 -
B. Colson * 37 9-20 3-8 3-4 15 0 0 1 1 24 19 -
R. Pflueger * 36 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 2 6 -
M. Farrell * 34 3-15 3-11 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 9 -2 -
M. Geben * 33 4-7 0-0 6-8 10 1 1 0 1 14 18 -
N. Djogo 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Mooney 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Torres 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jerome * 39 5-9 3-5 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 13 12 -
D. Hall * 37 5-10 1-2 6-6 5 6 1 0 1 17 18 -
I. Wilkins * 32 3-7 0-0 2-4 6 2 2 1 0 8 12 -
N. Johnson * 16 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 1 2 -
J. Salt * 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Hunter 25 3-9 1-1 3-5 6 2 1 1 2 10 9 -
M. Diakite 19 3-6 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 1 1 9 5 -
K. Guy 18 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter