Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +17 (68-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Beverly * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Dorn * | 32 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| A. Freeman * | 29 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| O. Yurtseven * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Abu * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Johnson | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Batts Jr. | 22 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| L. Freeman | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Hunt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hall * | 34 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| T. Jerome * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Guy * | 32 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 27 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Salt * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Johnson | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Hunter | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Diakite | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter