Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Adel * | 34 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| R. Spalding * | 33 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| V.J. King * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Q. Snider * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Williams * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. McMahon | 24 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Sutton | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Perry | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Guy * | 38 | 10-21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 5 | - |
| D. Hall * | 34 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| T. Jerome * | 30 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| J. Salt * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Anthony | 18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Hunter | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Diakite | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter