Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.8 | ✗ (40.8 off) |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -20 (54-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Maura * | 40 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Lyles * | 39 | 9-11 | 3-4 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 20 | - |
| A. Lamar * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Sherburne * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Grant | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Curran | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Gerrity | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Guy * | 40 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| T. Jerome * | 39 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| D. Hall * | 28 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Salt * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Diakite | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| N. Johnson | 24 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
* = starter