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Valparaiso Beacons

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Valparaiso Beacons
Program History
Coach: Roger Powell Jr.

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

71.7
PPG
72.8
Opp
-1.1
Margin
41.6%
FG%
34.1%
3P%
70.7%
FT%
35.9
RPG
11.9
APG
10.7
TO
78.8
Pace
72.0
AdjO
71.8
AdjD
#158
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1083 (#115) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 985 (#194) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1043 (#116) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +0.0 (#163) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +12.4 (#197) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.472 (#200) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.4 More → 0.740 (#96) NetEff +9.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.3 More → 0.536 (#151) AdjNet +1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.3 More → 0.537 (#151) AdjNet +1.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 71.8 More → 0.505 (#158) AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 71.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 71.8 More → 0.504 (#231) AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 71.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.755 (#173) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.713 (#176) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 31 More → 1089 (#148) RD 150 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 66 - 63
2025-11-07 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 59 - 107
2025-11-12 vs Nicholls Colonels W 68 - 63
2025-11-16 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 68 - 50
2025-11-19 @ Cleveland State Vikings W 90 - 75
2025-11-26 vs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles L 56 - 64
2025-11-29 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 84 - 55
2025-12-02 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 72 - 75
2025-12-13 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 70 - 73
2025-12-16 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 70 - 86
2025-12-21 vs Murray State Racers L 79 - 85
2025-12-29 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 48 - 58
2026-01-01 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 70 - 75
2026-01-04 vs UIC Flames W 66 - 59
2026-01-07 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 77 - 71
2026-01-10 @ Murray State Racers L 79 - 92
2026-01-13 @ Belmont Bruins L 74 - 78
2026-01-21 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 69 - 63
2026-01-28 vs Belmont Bruins L 77 - 78
2026-01-31 @ Indiana State Sycamores W 76 - 72
2026-02-03 @ Bradley Braves L 65 - 72
2026-02-06 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 70 - 63
2026-02-09 @ Drake Bulldogs W 81 - 76
2026-02-12 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 64 - 86
2026-02-15 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 76 - 75
2026-02-18 vs Bradley Braves W 79 - 72
2026-02-21 @ UIC Flames W 71 - 67
2026-02-25 vs Drake Bulldogs W 74 - 71
2026-02-28 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 79 - 80
2026-03-05 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 63 - 62
2026-03-06 @ Bradley Braves L 84 - 90

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jt Pettigrew Jt Pettigrew - 31 28.4 12.8 7.0 1.8 0.9 0.5 1.8 10.0 11.2 -12 -0.5 -1.0 39.0 28.8 74.6 0.01 51.1 42.4
O. Dease O. Dease F 30 27.9 12.4 3.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 1.3 9.7 6.4 19 0.8 1.6 44.5 40.4 82.3 0.16 56.8 52.4
Rakim Chaney Rakim Chaney - 31 28.8 10.9 3.4 2.8 1.4 0.3 1.5 9.2 8.0 39 1.8 3.1 39.6 36.6 75.4 0.58 53.4 50.0
Brody Whitaker Brody Whitaker - 29 26.6 9.4 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.0 0.7 7.2 6.6 38 1.8 3.6 43.8 43.6 83.1 0.66 58.1 53.6
Justus Mcnair Justus Mcnair G 30 18.0 7.9 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.9 6.1 4.3 -50 -2.4 -7.2 42.9 32.3 75.3 -0.74 54.2 48.4
Shon Tupuola Shon Tupuola - 31 25.0 6.5 5.9 0.8 0.4 1.3 0.9 4.5 9.5 -44 -2.0 -3.9 57.4 0.0 65.5 -0.41 60.1 57.4
I. Barnes I. Barnes G 27 13.2 3.6 1.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.7 3.6 1.9 1 0.0 0.1 32.7 26.8 71.0 -0.16 43.4 38.3
Carter Hopoi Carter Hopoi - 31 15.0 3.6 2.4 0.6 0.4 0.8 0.6 3.0 4.0 46 2.1 6.9 43.6 20.0 43.6 0.3 47.0 46.3
M. Brown Jr. M. Brown Jr. - 20 14.3 3.0 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.1 0.8 4.2 1.4 312 14.2 27.4 21.2 23.6 61.1 2.37 32.3 28.8
Tucker Tornatta Tucker Tornatta - 24 8.7 3.0 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.2 2.9 29 1.4 7.0 40.4 35.7 60.5 0.19 51.5 45.2
Sader Servilus Sader Servilus - 23 10.2 2.7 2.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.8 4.0 30 2.1 12.8 45.2 26.3 58.1 0.18 54.8 51.2
Camden Webster Camden Webster - 4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 -3 -0.6 -29.3 33.3 0.0 0 -0.11 33.3 33.3
Kyonte Thomas Kyonte Thomas - 25 2.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 5 0.3 5.0 40.0 0.0 0.0 -0.44 31.6 40.0
J. Vick J. Vick - 4 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2 0.4 22.7 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
Jayden Watson Jayden Watson F 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nick Lombardi Nick Lombardi - 4 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 -3 -0.6 -29.3 0.0 0 0 -0.11 0.0 0.0
Kobe Walker Kobe Walker C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -5 -1.0 -36.5 - - - -0.04 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG