Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wagner | 34 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| I. Scott | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| B. Alocen | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| X. Hall | 27 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| M. Harding | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. St. Bernard | 20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| J. Van Buggenhout | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Young | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Vorst | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Chaney | 36 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| B. Whitaker | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| O. Dease | 31 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Pettigrew | 29 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Tupuola | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Servilus | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Hopoi | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. McNair | 13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| I. Barnes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter