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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Valparaiso Beacons UIC Flames Spread Result
Elo 50.1% 49.9% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Log Adjusted 29.6% 70.4% -
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% -

Actual: UIC Flames -4 (67-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Valparaiso Beacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Chaney 30 2-9 2-6 6-8 7 2 2 0 0 12 14 +2.0
S. Tupuola 30 3-7 0-0 4-6 6 1 0 0 0 10 10 +3.5
O. Dease 29 2-8 2-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 1 -1.5
J. Pettigrew 25 4-11 1-1 2-2 6 3 3 1 3 11 10 -0.7
B. Whitaker 24 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 0 3 +13.9
J. McNair 23 4-9 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 11 5 -2.7
S. Servilus 15 4-4 1-1 4-5 5 2 0 0 1 13 15 +8.7
I. Barnes 11 3-5 1-2 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 8 5 +6.4
T. Tornatta 5 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 +1.0
C. Hopoi 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -3.0
K. Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9

UIC Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Momoh 31 5-9 0-0 0-1 10 2 0 1 0 10 14 +4.6
E. Crawford 31 6-15 1-6 9-10 3 4 1 0 4 22 11 +9.2
A. Johnson 28 2-4 2-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 4 +7.2
R. Washington Jr. 28 6-9 1-3 0-0 12 0 2 1 1 13 18 +3.9
M. Lowery 26 3-8 0-0 1-3 1 3 1 1 2 7 3 -6.2
S. Silverstein 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -8.4
J. Nathaniel 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -9.2
J. Hammons 11 0-1 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.0
A. Henderson II 10 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 -2 -5.1
T. Walters-Whitaker 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -9.0
A. Beljan 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -2.0

* = starter