Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Dease | 33 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. McNair | 29 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 6 | - |
| R. Chaney | 29 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| B. Whitaker | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Tupuola | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. Hopoi | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Servilus | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Pettigrew | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Tornatta | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| M. Brown Jr. | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Huibregtse | 31 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A. Jonovic | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| M. Wheeler | 25 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| J. Johnson | 24 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| AJ Smith | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Thomas | 24 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. van der Knaap | 22 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Yu | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Richardson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter