Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Larson | 35 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| J. Quinn | 30 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| J. Thomas | 27 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Alia | 26 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| E. Shetlar | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - |
| I. Carr | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| O. Federiko | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| G. Goodbary | 17 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Chaney | 34 | 7-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 5 | - |
| J. Pettigrew | 32 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| S. Tupuola | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Whitaker | 29 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| O. Dease | 19 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| S. Servilus | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. McNair | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| I. Barnes | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Hopoi | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jayden Watson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter