Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -0.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Huibregtse | 32 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| J. Johnson | 30 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| AJ Smith | 26 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Jonovic | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Thomas | 23 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Wheeler | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Burch | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Yu | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. van der Knaap | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Chaney | 33 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| J. Pettigrew | 31 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| B. Whitaker | 29 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| S. Tupuola | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| O. Dease | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. McNair | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Hopoi | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Servilus | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| T. Tornatta | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| I. Barnes | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter