Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +6 (90-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pettigrew | 48 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 11-14 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 30 | - |
| B. Whitaker | 47 | 9-15 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| O. Dease | 41 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Tupuola | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. McNair | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| R. Chaney | 23 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Hopoi | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Servilus | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Tornatta | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Huibregtse | 44 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| AJ Smith | 43 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| J. Johnson | 38 | 5-19 | 0-4 | 8-11 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| C. Thomas | 33 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Jonovic | 32 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| M. Wheeler | 26 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| T. van der Knaap | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Yu | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Richardson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter