Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | +1.4 | ✗ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -5 (76-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pettigrew | 35 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 27 | - |
| R. Chaney | 33 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| O. Dease | 29 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | - |
| B. Whitaker | 28 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. McNair | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Hopoi | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Tupuola | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| S. Servilus | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Quinn | 37 | 14-23 | 1-4 | 4-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 17 | - |
| A. Alia | 36 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Shetlar | 35 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| O. Larson | 28 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| I. Carr | 26 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| O. Federiko | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| G. Goodbary | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Thomas | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter