Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +22 (86-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Dease | 35 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Pettigrew | 31 | 5-17 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| R. Chaney | 30 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| B. Whitaker | 28 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| J. McNair | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Tupuola | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Servilus | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Hopoi | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| I. Barnes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Coleman | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| L. Wolf | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Ty Pence | 28 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| L. Moore | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Kinziger | 26 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 5 | - |
| B. Skunberg | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Lieb | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Klabo | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Walker | 6 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
* = starter